Making sense of key developments around the world

The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.

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29 August 2018

Duterte and the Mindanao conflict: a profitable moment to resolve a decades-long crisis

The signing of the Bangsamoro Organic Law by President Duterte presents renewed possibilities of resolving the long, drawn-out Mindanao conflict. However, the new law is only an initial stepping stone that needs to be closely followed through.

14 August 2018

Cocaine, Corruption and Clan Politics in Algeria

A record seizure of cocaine at the Port of Oran led to a corruption scandal implicating a number of senior officials, however, in Algeria where corruption is rife the latest scandal is more about a competition for power between the country’s ruling clans than it is about clamping down on corruption.

01 August 2018

The (limited) threat of Islamist militancy in northern Mozambique

The rise of attacks by militants in resource-rich Cabo Delgado represents an escalation and causes concern in foreign investors. While the group poses a threat to soft targets, effective security measures will likely suffice to protect energy installations as the militants currently lack financial support.

18 July 2018

What is the impact of Nawaz Sharif’s corruption scandal on the next general elections in Pakistan?

The 25 July general elections in Pakistan are expected to be closely contested, with the incumbent Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) poised to have a weak performance at the polls amid high rates of party defections caused by corruption scandals.

03 July 2018

The (un)sustainable impact of mass tourism on local communities

Authorities have made efforts to minimise the impact of tourism on local communities around the world, but their effectiveness remains to be seen.

19 June 2018

Will Mexico’s presidential election constrain surging violence?

Record-breaking rates of violent crime amid an economic downturn and institutionalised corruption in Mexico are likely to persuade voters to opt for a third choice on 1 July. Regardless of the outcome, however, cartel-fueled violence is likely to endure.

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