Making sense of key developments around the world

The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.

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19 November 2018

Venezuelan Exodus – a continent-wide refugee crisis with no end in sight

Venezuela’s refugee crisis is a major challenge not only to the legitimacy of the country’s government, but also puts pressure on South American governments to formulate a common policy as nearly three million Venezuela refugees, and counting, have left their homeland.

07 November 2018

Migrant Caravan – a visible expression of Central American migration

If the Trump administration follows through to de-fund its security partners in El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras for failing to stop future caravans, the conditions giving rise to the migrant caravans would only worsen.

02 November 2018

The emerging terror threats in Burkina Faso

Since early 2018, Burkina Faso has faced a growing destabilisation in the Est region, an area generally safe from terrorism, as a consequence of increased counter-terrorism operations in northeastern Mali. The opening of a new front in the Est region supposes a likely rise of terror-related violence in the area in the short and medium terms, but remains unlikely to spread nationwide.

10 October 2018

The surprise outcome of Maldivian elections: key factors and challenges ahead

Solih’s victory over incumbent Yameen in the presidential election was aided by high rates of defections from Yameen’s PPM party and loss of military support for an autocratic government. However, challenges lie ahead for the new president who seeks to reform state institutions and to restore democracy.

26 September 2018

A retirement deferred: implications of Putin’s pension reforms

To Russians, Putin’s unpopular plan to raise the retirement age is not just about working longer in life but also about facing the country’s stark economic realities with little means to redress them.

13 September 2018

The Future of Malaysia-China relations: Will Pakatan Harapan’s electoral victory lead to a deterioration of bilateral relations?

Following its electoral victory in May 2018, the Pakatan Harapan government has made it a priority to reassess the country’s relationship with Beijing, particularly in several major infrastructure projects funded by Chinese state-owned firms. However, this is unlikely to have a major impact on Malaysia-China relations due to strong existing economic and trade ties.

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