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Making sense of key developments around the world

The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.

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Latest Informer Articles

10 October 2018

The surprise outcome of Maldivian elections: key factors and challenges ahead

Solih’s victory over incumbent Yameen in the presidential election was aided by high rates of defections from Yameen’s PPM party and loss of military support for an autocratic government. However, challenges lie ahead for the new president who seeks to reform state institutions and to restore democracy.

26 September 2018

A retirement deferred: implications of Putin’s pension reforms

To Russians, Putin’s unpopular plan to raise the retirement age is not just about working longer in life but also about facing the country’s stark economic realities with little means to redress them.

13 September 2018

The Future of Malaysia-China relations: Will Pakatan Harapan’s electoral victory lead to a deterioration of bilateral relations?

Following its electoral victory in May 2018, the Pakatan Harapan government has made it a priority to reassess the country’s relationship with Beijing, particularly in several major infrastructure projects funded by Chinese state-owned firms. However, this is unlikely to have a major impact on Malaysia-China relations due to strong existing economic and trade ties.

29 August 2018

Duterte and the Mindanao conflict: a profitable moment to resolve a decades-long crisis

The signing of the Bangsamoro Organic Law by President Duterte presents renewed possibilities of resolving the long, drawn-out Mindanao conflict. However, the new law is only an initial stepping stone that needs to be closely followed through.

14 August 2018

Cocaine, Corruption and Clan Politics in Algeria

A record seizure of cocaine at the Port of Oran led to a corruption scandal implicating a number of senior officials, however, in Algeria where corruption is rife the latest scandal is more about a competition for power between the country’s ruling clans than it is about clamping down on corruption.

01 August 2018

The (limited) threat of Islamist militancy in northern Mozambique

The rise of attacks by militants in resource-rich Cabo Delgado represents an escalation and causes concern in foreign investors. While the group poses a threat to soft targets, effective security measures will likely suffice to protect energy installations as the militants currently lack financial support.

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