Riskline Informer

15 November 2017
Constitutional crisis continues following Catalan independence campaign
After annulling the unilateral Catalan independence declaration and dismissing parliament to hold new regional elections, unionists are emboldened to see the region brought closer into the federal fold.
07 November 2017
Xi Jinping and China's 19th National CPC Congress
The latest congress of the Communist Party of China elevates Xi Jinping's absolute power and paves the way for China's superpower status.
30 October 2017
Political protests following presidential election in Kyrgyzstan
Anti-government protests will continue in Kyrgyzstan following the election of the ruling SDPK-led coalition’s favoured candidate, Sooronbay Jeenbekov, as the country’s next president.
25 October 2017
Kurdistan regional crisis
While widely supported inside the Kurdistan region, the Kurdish independence referendum held in September 2017 has triggered a swift and aggressive response from Baghdad, as well as neighboring Iran and Turkey. The involvement of Iranian backed militias in the advance on Kirkuk greatly increases the risk of further clashes and unrest in the near-term, while US intransigence opens the door for increased Russian influence in the region.
17 October 2017
The long game: the takeaways from 7 October nationwide protests in Russia
The latest mass protests across Russia on 7 October showed that the threat of police arrest and violence failed to deter opposition protesters from gathering in 80 cities across the country. While Putin’s victory remains a near certainty in the March 2018 presidential election, the protests signal discontent against his rule among a growing number of Russians.
10 October 2017
Catalonia’s independence referendum triggers unprecedented constitutional crisis
Even if a solution is reached to prevent a unilateral declaration of independence, Barcelona and Madrid are going to continue feuding over autonomy until one side gives in.
26 September 2017
Anti-government protests erupt in Togo
A new wave of protests erupted nationwide against President Gnassingbé, but it has differences from previous bouts of unrest.
19 September 2017
The humanitarian and political crisis in Rakhine state
The latest bout of violence in northern Rakhine marks the emergence of an armed Rohingya insurgency that threatens to seriously undermine any prospects for peace and stability in the state, especially in light of the military’s ongoing brutal crackdown on the Rohingya population.
13 September 2017
Super storms as natural security threat
Catastrophic storm systems like hurricanes Harvey and Irma show how the environment can become a national security threat.
06 September 2017
August 2017
August 2017 Round-up: important developments and what we’re tracking for next month.
28 August 2017
Protests in Morocco’s Rif region
Protests continue across the Rif region as government takes a confused and contradictory approach to the valid concerns of local Berber residents.
23 August 2017
The 'Trump factor' and the North Korean nuclear threat in the Pacific
The violent rhetoric of Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un raises the stakes but does not substantially alter the risk of conflict in the region.
14 August 2017
Nawaz Sharif’s resignation to trigger new protests in Pakistan
Protests are expected to intensify in the near-term following the resignation of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and ahead of new general elections in June 2018.
08 August 2017
July 2017
July 2017 Round-up: important developments and what we’re tracking for next month.
01 August 2017
Opposition supporters intend to keep up protest pressure on ruling party in Turkey
The Turkish government weighs responses as pro-democracy rallies by the opposition continue.
26 July 2017
Border tensions between India and China likely to hinder bilateral economic relations
While the military stand-off between India and China over the Doklam region is unlikely to result in an armed conflict, it will hamper economic relations between the two countries in the medium-term.
18 July 2017
Lessons from Petya: the threat of cyberattacks in Ukraine and beyond
The Petya cyberattack that hit Ukraine and 64 other countries on 27 June should be taken as a warning that the threat of further destructive cyberattacks goes far beyond Ukraine.
11 July 2017
The growing terrorist threat in Southeast Asia
A recent string of attacks in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines highlights the growing influence of the Islamic State and its violent ideology.
03 July 2017
June 2017
June 2017 Round-up: important developments and what we’re tracking for next month.
26 June 2017
Security outlook in post-FARC Colombia
Despite the successful FARC demobilisation, the security situation in Nariño, Putumayo, Norte de Santander and Cauca departments is likely to worsen.